METHODS AND MAIN PRODUCTS OF THE SWPC IZMIRAN

At the SWPC the original prediction method are developed and constantly improved that allows with sufficient accuracy to predict solar and geomagnetic activity, the flux of solar cosmic rays, the relativistic electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit.

The accuracy of produced forecasts continuously tasted either by the daily verification subsystems integrated into the prediction system, either through periodic comparisons procedures with the measured values and the results of other major prediction centers for different intervals – quarter, year, years.

Today the SWPC on a daily basis provides more than twenty different types of products for specific customers (reviews of space weather, forecasts of basic parameters of space weather, alerts, etc.).

The SWPC opportunities allow to develop methods of new kinds of forecasts for demand of customers, as well as upgrade the existing methods using the new experimental data and new scientific developments that can more fully take into account the physics of investigated processes in interplanetary medium.

List of the main products (examples)
–	Super short-term forecast (nowcast)
–	Geomagnetic forecast for the next 3 days
–	Forecast 3-hour Kp index for the next 3 days
–	Geomagnetic forecast for the next 8 days with a forecast of average daily Ap index and probability of highest Kp index in the day
–	Daily forecast of solar and geomagnetic activity for the next 8 days
–	Solar (F10.7) and geomagnetic activity (Ap) forecast for the next 55 days
–	Long-term forecasts of solar (F10.7) and geomagnetic activity (Ap) in the years and decades
–	Forecast of daily flux of electrons with energy > 2 MeV in geostationary orbit for the next 28 days
–	Forecast of the probability of large solar proton events for the next 28 days (radiation situation forecast)
–	Review and forecast of the basic parameters of space weather and forecast of proton enhancement
–	Review and forecast of the basic parameters of space weather on 3 days in a tabular form
–	Review and forecast space weather for 45 days (for the planning of the space work)
–	Forecast of space weather for the State Commission before each start (for export, filling, start)
–	Weekly and monthly forecasts of space weather
–	Analytical reviews of space weather on the specific dates and intervals
–	Alerts of a sharp increase in solar activity
–	Alerts of a sharp increase in geomagnetic activity
–	Alerts of a sharp increase in the flux of solar protons
–	Alerts of a sharp increase of electron flux with energy> 2 MeV in geostationary orbit
–	Forecast of the probability of observing the aurora over the areas of Finland (border of auroral oval)